Tuesday, January 24, 2012
QE3?
ES, S&P E-Mini futures, with the ZN, 10 Treasury future. Normally bonds go up stocks go down, or stocks go up and bonds go down. So bonds and stocks up together? I guess everybody was on the QE3 train, but in the last couple of days Treasuries are off so? I'm with this guy Yield Disconnect.
Thursday, December 8, 2011
Sit On Your Hands
Unemployment claims drop big, waiting for next week's revision up, and market jumps up. S&P finally got over the 200 day for literally a minute and then smacked right back down by ECB rumors. US markets are still run by Europe and waiting for this weekends answer.
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
200 Day vs Santa
S&P ran up to the 200 day and then downgrade warnings on basically everybody in Europe and failed 200 day breakout attempt #1. Really it's just wait for the weekend and see for save Euro conference #140, there's as many of these as UFC fights. Chart wise we're looking like a failed upside breakout attempt this morning, but it is December and everybody loves a Santa Claus rally.
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Intervention
So who snitched early? It was obvious yesterday that there was a Fed move coming, http://marketvent.blogspot.com/2011/11/qe-3-return.html, I went with QE but this is a global liquity move by everybody, http://finance.yahoo.com/news/central-banks-rescue-todays-action-162004495.html;_ylt=ApSr9t4Hecun35kk69nrqj.iuYdG;_ylu=X3oDMTQzM2l1NWh2BG1pdANGaW5hbmNlIEZQIEp1bWJvdHJvbiBMaXRlBHBrZwNiMThjMDIzYi1lOTRiLTMxOTctYTg1NC03Nzc5YTE2MWE4NDgEcG9zAzEEc2VjA2p1bWJvdHJvbgR2ZXIDZjEyZGRiODQtMWI3OC0xMWUxLWFhNDYtMGZmZGQwOTY5ZmM4;_ylg=X3oDMTFvdnRqYzJoBGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDBHBzdGNhdANob21lBHB0A3NlY3Rpb25zBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3. Odd part is how people view things. This happens and markets jump hysterically high but what caused that many countries to agree to a move together? Had to have been bad. Basically this cements the idea government will not let the stock market go down past a point. So play that accordingly.
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
QE 3 The Return
Stocks up on light volume, treasury's don't move, gold up, oil up. Last time it looked like this it was QE or Twist or whatevrr new idea the Fed tries this time.
Missed That
Looks like I was wrong, http://marketvent.blogspot.com/2011/11/and-were-back.html. I still cannot believe it will stay like this since the cuts were designed to be mutually destructive. 1.5 trillion on a annual GDP of 15 is going to make a dent and if the unemployment and tax cuts are allowed to expire in a month that's an instant -%1 GDP cut too.
